Mar 272012
 
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Delayed by-elections just one sign of BC Premier's shaky hold on power.

by Bill Tieleman

For Premier [Christy] Clark to wait so long for political, not practical, reasons is a disgrace. 
 Tri-Cities News editorial on delay in Port Moody-Coquitlam by-election.

Mid-March brought another week of big problems for BC Premier Christy Clark.

Victoria sources say BC Liberal MLA Joan McIntyre walked out of the legislature’s chamber Thursday while Clark was speaking.

Those include cabinet minister Harry Bloy's resignation in disgrace, and Clark's new communications director Sara MacIntyre's controversial attempt to block media from asking questions at a photo opportunity.

The week also saw more questions about the blown $40-million deal with Telus to rename BC Place, and the reappearance at the Port Moody-Coquitlam campaign office of a BC Liberal Party executive member who resigned for bringing a convicted attempted assassin to the BC legislature for the budget speech — on a ticket from the premier's office.

Clark, who counted Bloy as her only provincially-elected supporter during her leadership bid, isn't exactly making new friends in caucus. Victoria sources say BC Liberal MLA Joan McIntyre walked out of the legislature's chamber Thursday while Clark was speaking, and a rumour later circulated that McIntyre was unhappy with the premier's personal attack on NDP leader Adrian Dix when Clark attempted to defend Bloy.

Reports also persist that McIntyre's West Vancouver-Sea To Sky seat is in play. Former West Vancouver mayor Pamela Goldsmith-Jones has said she won't challenge currently elected candidates, but that doesn't preclude the possibility that Clark would have — or even has — asked McIntyre to step aside. Would Clark prefer Goldsmith-Jones, or even former CTV news anchor Pamela Martin, who now works in Clark's office for $130,000 a year doing "outreach"?

McIntyre did not respond to email and telephone requests for comment.

Reflecting all of the above, it was another week where Clark failed to call two byelections in vacant ridings lacking any elected representation in Victoria [although the announcement finally came on March 19] .

But don't get the idea that Clark thinks it's a disgrace that Port Moody-Coquitlam hasn't had a member of the Legislative Assembly since October 1, 2011 or that Chilliwack-Hope lost its MLA on January 9, 2012.

Clark's response to media questions on why she didn't scheduled a byelection for more than five months after Port Moody-Coquitlam BC Liberal MLA Iain Black quit?

"Well the holdup is that I haven't called it yet and I will in a couple of weeks, so, probably — you'll find out. I'll let you know when I know," Clark nonchalantly said on Friday.

April 7 was the absolute deadline by law for calling the byelection, where former long-time Port Moody mayor Joe Trasolini is expected to win.

But while Clark couldn't find the time to call the byelections, she has spent a lot of spare hours campaigning in both ridings — formerly safe BC Liberal seats now threatened by both the New Democrats and BC Conservatives.

Clark was in Hope on March 5 to tour around with BC Liberal candidate Laurie Throness, a former federal Reform and Conservative party staffer facing strong challenges from both the BC Conservatives' John Martin, a criminologist and newspaper columnist, and the NDP's Gwen O'Mahoney, a community support worker who took 33 percent of the vote as candidate in the 2009 provincial election.

The BC Liberals are hoping Throness' long history with right-wing politics — including a stint as ex-Conservative cabinet minister Chuck Strahl's chief of staff in Ottawa — will stem the tide against the party in a riding comfortably held by former BC Attorney General Barry Penner.

When asked by local media when that vote would happen, Clark again replied without giving a date: "Every day we're closer… the community needs an MLA sooner rather than later."

Clark must send Chilliwack-Hope voters to the polls no later than July 30, according to Elections BC.

And Clark also spoke at the February 17 nomination meeting for Port Moody-Coquitlam BC Liberal candidate Dennis Marsden. The reason that voters in both ridings are being denied representation is very simple: the BC Liberals are in deep fear of losing both seats.

Yet another indication came when Justason Research released a new poll on Saturday showing the NDP at 45 percent support, well ahead of the BC Liberals at just 31 percent. The BC Conservatives sit at 14 percent and the Greens at eight. That means Clark's party has dropped 15 points since the 2009 election victory under ex-premier Gordon Campbell.

The polling results and lengthy delay are raising concerns in the BC Liberal caucus about Clark's tenuous future.

The reports about McIntyre being asked to give up her seat so that the party can win at least one of the then-three ridings needing new MLAs are indicative of a desperate mood in the premier's office.

But is even McIntyre's riding still safe enough to hold?

Another poll that makes it more questionable was released by Forum Research in late February and put the BC Conservatives neck and neck with the BC Liberals, at 22 percent versus 24 percent for Clark's party. The NDP were at a comfortable 42 percent.

If Clark convinced a sitting BC Liberal MLA to step down and then lost a third by-election, it wouldn't take a shark to tell there was political blood in the water. And that could mean either a provincial general election or a BC Liberal leadership challenge — or both.

This already interesting year in BC politics is going to get even more fascinating in the next few weeks.

About Bill Tieleman


Bill Tieleman, president of West Star Communications, is one of BC's best known political commentators and communicators. Read political commentary from Bill every Tuesday in 24 hours, Vancouver's free weekday newspaper (also online) and in The Tyee — BC's award-winning online magazine.

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© Copyright 2012 Bill Tieleman, All rights Reserved. Written For: StraightGoods.ca
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